Trey-Burke

NBA Draft Prospect of the Day: Trey Burke Reply

Name: Trey Burke

School: Michigan

HT/WT: 6’0’’ 190

Birthday: 9/12/92 (Age: 20)

Class: Sophomore

Primary Position: PG

Overall Ranking: 12

Position Ranking: 3

(School Bio)

(Stats)

Scouting Report
Strengths:                                                 Weaknesses:
+ Quickness
+ Ball Handling
+ True Point Guard
+ Efficiency
+ Development
– On-Ball Defense
– Size

Strengths:

Burke’s game is built on speed, and he is at his best in transition. His acceleration in the open court breaks down defenses and forces defenders to commit, allowing him to dish to the open man for the easy assist. In a half-court set, Burke’s quickness and acceleration make him an adept pick and roll operator, as he is able to get into the middle of the lane and thread the needle.
Burke has developed into a go-to scorer. He is currently shooting 57.1% on 2-point shots, an 8.1% increase from last season. This shows an improvement in his ability to finish at the rim and his mid-range consistency. Burke has added another weapon to his offensive arsenal, as his 3PT% has risen from 34.8% in 11’-12’ to 38.2% in 12’-13’.
During the 2012-2013 season, Burke has been the model of efficiency. While playing less minutes than he did during his freshman year, Burke has improved in nearly every statistical category. This is a result of his impressive development from his freshman year to this season. Trey is currently 9th in the nation in assists, He is also 5th in the nation in assist to turnover ratio, which is due to his superb ball handling, as he stays low to the ground and has the tightest handle of any point guard in the draft. According to KenPom.com, Burke is 15th in the nation in assist rate, which measures the percentage of teammate baskets the player assisted on while on the court.

Weaknesses:

The major negative in Burke’s game is his play on the defensive side of the ball, specifically his on-ball defense. Burke’s defensive play was a work in progress during his freshman year in Ann Arbor; however, he has made progress. In his key matchups this season against Lorenzo Brown and BJ Young, Burke held both prospects to single-digit scoring totals. Burke has to continue to work on keeping his man in front of him. Burke will face tough defensive assignments in BIG TEN Conference play against Yogi Ferrell, Aaron Craft, and Keith Appling. Furthermore, as Michigan advances into the NCAA Tournament in March, his defensive play against the best teams in the nation will speak volumes of his progression on the defensive side of the ball, and his ability to defend at the next level.
Burke’s size has been pegged as his major impediment to success at the next level. Personally, I do not see his size as a negative. Burke will face the nightly struggles of being 6’0’’ when matched up with taller, stronger guards; however, diminutive point guards such as Chris Paul and Ty Lawson have shown that small point guards who are lightning quick, and possess all-around games can dominate in the NBA.
As Burke continues to add muscle to his frame, it will help him be more physical and aggressive on the defensive end and improve his overall ability to defend in the NBA.

Overview:

Burke’s talent suggested that he should have been a first round pick in last year’s draft, but he surprised the basketball world by remaining in school. This season, Burke has improved in nearly every facet of the game while logging fewer minutes than he did during his freshman year. On offense, Burke is the total package. He is able to get by defenders with his superb acceleration, while his vision and passing ability allow him find the open man and deliver the pass. As his shot and defense continue to progress, Burke’s all-around game will make him a matchup nightmare for opposing teams in the NBAs.

Accolades:

College

2012-2013 – Sophomore
BIG Ten Player of the Week (2) – Weeks of Dec. 17th, Jan. 6th
Named to the John R. Wooden Award Watch List
Named to the Bob Cousy Award Watch List
Named to the Naismith Award Watch List
Associated Press Preseason All-America Team
Preseason All-Big Ten
2011 – 2012 – Freshmen
Associated Press All-America Honorable Mention
Member of All-BIG Ten 2nd Team
Named BIG Ten Freshmen of the Year
Bob Cousy PG of the Year Award – Finalist

High School

Attended Northland HS (OH)
Class of 2011
Associated Press Mr. Basketball – Ohio
Parade Magazine 2nd Team All-American

 

Rankings:
ESPN -
#84 in the Nation
Rivals -
#142 in the Nation
Scout -
#92 in the Nation

KEY MATCHUPS:

1) 11/27/12 – vs. #18 NC State – Lorenzo Brown
Stats – 37 MIN, 18 MIN, 5-9 FG, 3-5 3PT, 5-8 FT, 11 AST, 0 REB, 2 STL, 0 TO, 1 PF
2) 12/8/12 – vs. Arkansas – BJ Young
Stats – 34 MIN, 16 PTS, 6-13 FG, 1-3 3PT, 3-5 FT, 7 AST, 4 REB, 1 STL, 3 TO, 2 PF
3) 1/13/13/ – #15 Ohio State – Aaron Craft
Stats – 37 MIN, 15 PTS, 4-13 FG, 2-5 3PT, 5-5 FT, 4 AST, 4 REB, 1 STL, 4 TO, 3 PF

GAMES SCOUTED:

1) 11/21/12 – Pittsburgh vs #5 Michigan
2) 11/23/12 – Kansas State vs #4 Michigan
3) 11/27/12 – #16 NC State vs #4 Michigan
4) 12/15/12 – West Virginia vs #3 Michigan
5) 1/17/13 – #5 Michigan vs #9 Minnesota

COMPARISONS

NBA Comparison:

Jameer Nelson – 5’11’’ 190 – St. Joseph’s – College Career
While many compare Burke to CP3, he is not quite there in his overall development. The Jameer Nelson comparison works for a lot of reasons. Both guards are 6’0’’ or smaller, progressed significantly from behind the arc throughout their college careers and use their speed and acceleration excel in transition. Furthermore, Burke’s draft selection will fall in line with where Nelson was picked by the Magic in the 2004 NBA Draft. Nelson stayed in school all four years at St. Joseph’s. During his senior year, he was named a 1st Team All-American and won the Naismith Player of the Year Award.. While he has pegged as an early 1st round pick, Nelson fell to the 20th selection due to concerns over his size. This comparison simply works. I believe that Burke’s career will be more successful than Nelson’s, and will be selected to multiple All-Star games throughout his NBA career.

Statistical Comparison:

Ty Lawson – 5’11’’ 195 – North Carolina, Sophomore – 2007-2008 Season
This comparison is simply to show where Burke is in his development. When compared to Ty Lawson, his statistics show just how good he has been this season. While Lawson’s usage rate was lower than Burke’s during his sophomore year, their statistics show that they are very similar players. Lawson returned to school after his sophomore year to became the ACC Player of the Year and win a National Championship during the 2008-2009 season. With his play this season, Burke is on track to become a 1st Team All-American, and possibly lead his Michigan Wolverines deep into March.

 

Statistics

MPG

FG%

3PT%

APG

RPG

SPG

PPG

Statistical Comparisons

Burke’s 12’-13’ Season Stats

33.7

50.4%

38.2%

7.2

2.9

1.3

17.8

Burke’s Career Stats

36.1

45.9%

35.9%

5.5

3.3

1.0

15.9

Jameer Nelson’s Career Stats

34.5

45.3%

36.4%

5.7

4.6

2.0

16.8

Lawson’s 07’-08’ Season Stats

25.3

51.5%

36.1%

5.2

3.0

1.6

12.7

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